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Atmospheric Methane Removal Approaches

Hydrogen Peroxide Dispersal

Rising temperatures are increasing the risk of natural systems releasing methane, which would drive further warming. Existing efforts towards reducing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and removing atmospheric carbon dioxide are crucial, but may be insufficient to maximally decrease the chance of, and then possible impact of, these risks. Atmospheric methane removal approaches are being researched to determine how to remove methane from the atmosphere faster than natural systems alone, in order to help lower peak temperatures and counteract some of the impacts of large-scale natural systems methane releases.

Atmospheric methane removal, should any approaches prove highly scalable, effective, and safe, could help address some of the current 0.5°C—and rising—of methane-driven warming. All proposed atmospheric methane removal approaches are at a very early stage today: some ideas have been proposed, some are being researched in laboratories, but none are yet ready for deployment. Spark believes that accelerating research to develop and assess which, if any, of these approaches might be possible and desirable is an important additional risk mitigation strategy.

A number of atmospheric methane removal approach ideas have been raised—including
hydrogen peroxide dispersal
, which is currently
Under early exploration
, with major breakthrough innovations required to change this
.
This approach, based on early analysis, will likely require multiple breakthroughs in order to feasibly address atmospheric methane levels. It may hold the most promise if it also delivers separate benefits (e.g. for climate or pollution), as part of systems deployed for other primary reasons, or to address low-concentration methane sources.

Hydrogen Peroxide Dispersal

Overview

Dispersing hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) aerosols into the air has been proposed as a way of producing more hydroxyl radicals (OH), the largest natural atmospheric methane sink. This approach aims to increase the rate of methane oxidation by generating hydroxyl radicals via solar photolysis of hydrogen peroxide or the Fenton reaction. Little is known about the efficacy or safety of the idea as there has yet to be any scientific research on this method.

Feasibility

Learn more about how we evaluate cost plausibility and climate impacts

There is currently no published literature on hydrogen peroxide dispersal. Independent scientific research is needed to address many major unanswered questions before determining feasibility and assessing whether safe deployment scenarios exist.

The cost and climate impacts will depend on the reaction rates and conversion efficiencies from hydrogen peroxide to hydroxyl radicals to oxidation of methane  and other climate forcers. Given the lack of research, little is known about the approach. There are many potential sources of efficiency loss between hydrogen peroxide dispersion and methane oxidation that need to be characterized.

Some of the efficiency losses may result from hydroxyl radicals reacting with other pollutants, including sulfur dioxide (SO₂), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), and non-methane volatile organic compounds. The environmental and human health co-benefits should be valued, while possible negative health effects (see section below) should also be weighed.

Since local atmospheric conditions affect efficiency, future estimated costs will always be location- and condition-specific. Any future cost estimates would also need to take into consideration all the greenhouse gas emissions across the lifecycle of this approach, from production of hydrogen peroxide through dispersal. Current hydrogen peroxide production methods have high carbon dioxide emissions, with an estimated 1.2 tons of CO₂e emissions per ton of hydrogen peroxide (using GWP100 and 50% H₂O₂ in H₂O). 

Assuming zero efficiency loss (perfect photolytic conversion from hydrogen peroxide to hydroxyl radicals), and zero lifecycle carbon emissions from the process itself, this approach would require a sharp decrease in hydrogen peroxide production costs to  be cost-effective on a methane removal basis alone. With more research, the full impacts of the method should be quantified to understand the full benefits and risks.

One ton of hydrogen peroxide can cost ~$375 today. If a ton of hydrogen peroxide was photolyzed into two hydroxyl radicals per molecule of hydrogen peroxide, and then ~15% of hydroxyl radicals oxidize a methane, this would result in 0.14 tons of methane oxidized, or approximately a $2,700 cost per ton of methane removed; while this is in the cost-plausible range, it does not include lifecycle carbon costs, capital costs, or other operating costs.

This estimate above also does not take into account the many efficiency losses (see Figure above), which are not yet well understood. There is variability in the percentage of hydroxyl radicals that react with methane, likely influenced by atmospheric conditions and altitude, with observations ranging from 10% to 25%. Furthermore, the estimate assumes that hydrogen peroxide is in the gas phase; aerosolized hydrogen peroxide in aqueous form would have a 1:2 rather than 2:1 conversion to hydroxyl radicals, leading to a 4x increase in the cost per ton of methane oxidized. The latter consideration, alongside the likely efficiency losses including deposition, make hydrogen peroxide appear cost-implausible without significant decreases in hydrogen peroxide production costs. 

The highly complex and non-linear atmospheric chemistry that drives the hydroxyl radical budget has many uncertainties, including how it may respond to perturbations and regeneration of hydroxyl radicals under different conditions. While the regeneration of hydroxyl radicals could lower the cost of this approach, further scientific studies must be conducted before including this effect in a feasibility evaluation.

Many important questions about hydrogen peroxide dispersal have not been addressed. Scientific transparency and independent review are required for the community to evaluate this method effectively.  This effort is currently hindered by the lack of independent scientific research and peer-reviewed literature. Until the underlying basic science is available, and efficacy, safety, and community support are established, any deployment or selling of credits is premature.

Scalability

Learn more about how we evaluate scalability

The potential scale for hydrogen peroxide aerosols is primarily determined by the socially acceptable concentrations of H2O2 and the raw material constraints imposed by producing vast quantities of H2O2. Scaling this method of methane removal would require a massive increase in global production of hydrogen peroxide. Assuming the idealized 1:0.14 ratio of hydrogen peroxide to methane removal (see explanation and caveats in Feasibility section), removing 10 million metric tons of methane (830 Mt CO2e using GWP20), one benchmark for annual scale, would require the dispersal of 71 million tons per year of hydrogen peroxide. This is more than fourteen times the current global hydrogen peroxide production of 5 million tons per year. Atmospheric process inefficiencies (outlined above) may increase this number, potentially dramatically. 

If a feasible approach was found and appropriate oversight and transparency were in place, the path to scaling hydrogen peroxide could be rapid. It would be limited by the speed at which adverse and unexpected effects could be accurately assessed after a given scale of deployment, material availability for the H2O2 itself, and any limitations associated with the deployment modality (e.g., appropriately outfitted ships and/or airplanes). Today, hydrogen peroxide is produced in large industrial facilities, which depend on fossil fuel inputs. New, more modular, and less polluting production methods are being researched, but haven’t yet been scaled. Ideally any potential future growth of hydrogen peroxide production would be based on cleaner methods.

We estimate that scaling to 10 million metric tons of methane (830 Mt CO2e using GWP20), a benchmark for scale, could occur within a decade after an initial hypothetical first successful methane megaton-scale deployment.

Health & Environmental Considerations

Given the very early state of understanding this potential pathway, health and environmental co-benefits and concerns of hydrogen peroxide dispersal are not yet well understood. It would be critical to study them further before considering any future field testing or deployment.

The hydroxyl radicals this method aims to produce may have beneficial side effects. Besides methane, they may also oxidize VOCs and ozone. This would decrease the overall radiative forcing while also reducing pollutants with negative human health and environmental impacts near ground level. 

However, in the aqueous phase, hydrogen peroxide could react with sulfur dioxide to produce sulfuric acid, generating acid rain (Pandis 1989, Seinfeld 2016).

In addition, inhaling hydrogen peroxide at certain concentrations is known to irritate the nose, throat, and lungs. OSHA regulations limit average work shift airborne exposure to 1 ppm and warn that hydrogen peroxide exposures should be reduced to the lowest possible level. Modeling possible exposure levels from dispersing hydrogen peroxide is needed to understand the potential risks to human health and natural systems. To assess overall safety of hydrogen peroxide dispersal, scientists need to understand what level of exposure humans and ecosystems would be subject to in any deployment scenario and what positive or negative health or environmental impacts may result from resultant changes in air quality.

Potential impacts on stratospheric ozone are not understood and could be influenced by the deployment altitude of hydrogen peroxide dispersal.

Learn More

State of Research
Thank you to
Matthew Johnson (University of Copenhagen)
for their contributions to, and review of, this content.
This is a living document — we welcome suggested updates here or by contacting us.

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